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Red151
398623.3
461819.8
150354.6
Blue116
503126.2
482546.5
201348.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75129050100150200250151116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.61.5
49.651.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
48.70.1
48.648.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3986
#40
23.31.4
18.820.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.1
4825
#11
46.50.1
46.346.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4618
#30
19.81.4
15.216.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
5031
#12
26.20.1
26.025.9
Auto
Teleop
End