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Red150
1114117.0
128536.9
107527.0
Blue131
124169.2
515820.1
24428.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139103050200250300350400150131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117.01.4
91.292.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 47.8
1241
#14
69.21.1
73.874.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1285
#13
36.91.4
16.918.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.7
244
#23
28.31.8
23.825.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1075
#17
27.01.4
25.426.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
5158
#36
20.11.8
11.413.3
Auto
Teleop
End