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Red153
371034.8
150354.6
338643.5
Blue61
482546.5
260133.8
505126.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7951010015020015361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.66.5
34.641.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
4825
#11
46.50.5
24.224.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3386
#28
43.56.5
23.329.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.7
2601
#18
33.80.5
16.817.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
34.86.5
17.023.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.7
5051
#26
26.10.5
13.914.4
Auto
Teleop
End