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Red205
355026.8
78141.8
1114117.0
Blue171
338643.5
85419.5
482546.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18183050150200250300350400205171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117.03.3
115.9119.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 70.5
4825
#11
46.56.0
36.342.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
781
#10
41.83.3
36.439.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
3386
#28
43.56.0
45.951.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3550
#22
26.83.3
13.416.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
854
#45
19.56.0
16.422.4
Auto
Teleop
End