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Red161
260133.8
398832.5
24428.3
Blue72
503126.2
515820.1
28814.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4868010015020016172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2601
#18
33.88.5
20.829.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
5031
#12
26.20.5
33.233.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
32.58.5
11.520.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.4
5158
#36
20.10.5
19.419.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
244
#23
28.38.5
19.227.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.9
288
#42
14.40.5
12.613.1
Auto
Teleop
End