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Red120
299420.2
447657.7
150354.6
Blue210
1114117.0
132528.4
316122.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107179050150200250300350120210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.70.1
52.352.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 59.3
117.03.1
122.0125.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
54.60.1
44.644.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.1
28.43.3
23.927.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2994
#33
20.20.1
21.321.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
3161
#43
22.23.1
21.524.6
Auto
Teleop
End