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Red118
371034.8
425220.3
260133.8
Blue11
472716.2
478310.9
317321.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9055015020025030011811

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.82.4
35.337.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.5
3173
#39
21.33.9
31.227.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2601
#18
33.82.4
29.331.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.6
4727
#35
16.23.6
19.516.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4252
#24
20.32.4
20.122.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.5
4783
#25
10.93.6
9.96.3
Auto
Teleop
End