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Red32
451934.8
503933.2
503323.2
Blue117
503211.5
473222.4
403976.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions728905015020025032117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4519
#16
34.83.5
31.828.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 41.7
76.52.6
46.148.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5039
#13
33.23.5
29.626.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.8
4732
#17
22.42.6
15.618.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5033
#26
23.23.5
13.19.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.7
5032
#29
11.52.6
24.427.0
Auto
Teleop
End