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Qual 222014 Waterloo Regional
Red185
86530.4
467851.3
491750.2
Blue120
130512.1
368388.9
452526.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94132050150200250300350185120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4678
#12
51.37.1
42.6→49.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 37.5
3683
#6
88.90.3
82.8→82.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4917
#5
50.27.1
36.3→43.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 24.1
4525
#22
26.10.5
18.8→18.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
865
#24
30.44.3
20.7→25.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 18.4
1305
#28
12.10.5
24.4→23.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—