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Qual 272014 Waterloo Regional
Red206
78166.7
368388.9
403976.5
Blue136
128549.6
451934.8
133437.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19088050150250300350206136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3683
#6
88.91.6
82.5→84.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 39.3
1285
#8
49.61.6
43.0→44.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4039
#1
76.52.7
48.7→51.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 38.6
1334
#19
37.82.6
32.9→35.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
781
#7
66.71.6
43.0→44.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 32.0
4519
#16
34.82.6
28.3→30.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—