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Qual 282014 Waterloo Regional
Red115
205692.6
503933.2
503211.5
Blue110
77120.5
473222.4
491750.2
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145650100200250300350115110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
#4
92.61.5
79.9→78.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 42.4
4917
#5
50.22.7
43.4→46.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
5039
#13
33.21.5
26.1→24.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 10.8
4732
#17
22.42.7
18.1→20.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5032
#29
11.51.5
27.0→25.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 9.0
771
#25
20.52.7
16.2→18.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—