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Red161
86530.4
406946.5
1114117.4
Blue225
467851.3
205692.6
494317.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18492050150250300350161225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117.40.5
117.0116.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.8
92.69.9
67.977.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4069
#14
46.50.7
32.431.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
4678
#12
51.39.9
24.634.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
865
#24
30.40.4
20.520.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.8
4943
#27
17.66.3
17.623.9
Auto
Teleop
End