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Red120
503933.2
124178.7
473222.4
Blue100
128549.6
78166.7
503211.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99920200300400500120100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
#11
78.71.1
69.270.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.0
781
#7
66.70.4
41.842.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5039
#13
33.217.3
33.215.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.4
49.60.4
36.937.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4732
#17
22.41.9
14.416.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.8
5032
#29
11.53.1
11.514.6
Auto
Teleop
End