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Red161
128549.6
503323.2
124178.7
Blue112
477736.4
86530.4
368388.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140149050100200250300350161112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
#11
78.71.0
73.874.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.1
88.91.8
87.585.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
49.61.0
44.845.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.2
4777
#15
36.42.4
33.431.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5033
#26
23.21.3
22.924.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.2
865
#24
30.41.8
26.925.1
Auto
Teleop
End