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Red65
494317.6
452526.1
406946.5
Blue185
205692.6
403976.5
473222.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70210010030040050065185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4069
#14
46.51.8
43.241.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 46.2
92.60.2
89.389.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4525
#22
26.11.8
26.424.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 50.4
76.50.2
75.375.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4943
#27
17.61.8
22.020.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
4732
#17
22.40.2
23.823.6
Auto
Teleop
End