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Qual 512014 Waterloo Regional
Red180
503211.5
1114117.4
451934.8
Blue132
128549.6
499221.5
368388.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176140050100200250300350180132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1114
#3
117.40.5
117.2→117.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 28.6
3683
#6
88.90.7
85.7→85.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4519
#16
34.80.6
34.3→35.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 14.8
1285
#8
49.60.7
45.8→45.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5032
#29
11.50.6
18.5→19.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 10.0
4992
#20
21.50.8
14.3→13.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—