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Red70
78166.7
451934.8
394921.6
Blue129
130512.1
205692.6
86530.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8113005010015020025030035070129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
781
#7
66.71.0
42.341.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 25.9
92.60.6
77.778.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4519
#16
34.81.5
27.826.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
865
#24
30.40.3
20.020.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3949
#30
21.61.5
18.516.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.5
1305
#28
12.10.6
24.324.8
Auto
Teleop
End