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Red99
406946.5
133437.8
124178.7
Blue205
316139.0
403976.5
260937.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1448605020025030099205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
#11
78.71.8
70.368.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
76.59.2
39.248.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4069
#14
46.53.0
31.728.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
3161
#10
39.06.1
30.536.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1334
#19
37.83.0
33.230.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
37.16.1
25.531.6
Auto
Teleop
End