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Red180
124185.2
128548.8
494018.6
Blue176
14135.8
132551.5
55535.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172105050150200250300180176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.20.3
88.188.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 33.7
1325
#14
51.51.0
49.250.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
48.80.3
51.752.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.9
141
#26
35.81.0
33.634.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4940
#27
18.60.3
21.822.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.6
555
#9
35.21.0
33.034.0
Auto
Teleop
End