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Red140
128548.8
124185.2
494018.6
Blue171
132551.5
14135.8
55535.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172109050150200250300140171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.20.4
88.488.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 33.7
1325
#14
51.50.9
50.351.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
48.80.4
52.051.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.9
141
#26
35.80.9
34.635.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4940
#27
18.60.4
22.121.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.6
555
#9
35.20.9
34.034.8
Auto
Teleop
End