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Quarterfinal 3-32014 Windsor Essex Great Lakes Regional
Red187
124185.2
128548.8
494018.6
Blue142
14135.8
132551.5
55535.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions170112050150200250300187142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
#3
85.20.4
88.0→88.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 33.7
1325
#14
51.50.3
51.1→51.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1285
#4
48.80.4
51.6→52.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.9
141
#26
35.80.3
35.5→35.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4940
#27
18.60.5
21.7→22.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 16.6
555
#9
35.20.3
34.8→35.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—