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Red195
467854.1
481428.6
280958.9
Blue121
155940.5
184626.5
311755.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142118050100200250300350195121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.90.9
57.958.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
55.00.0
55.055.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4678
#13
54.10.9
53.154.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.6
1559
#19
40.50.0
40.440.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4814
#18
28.61.0
27.428.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
1846
#20
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto
Teleop
End