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Red50
367419.7
381228.8
519821.1
Blue60
241120.3
247154.1
7532.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions489001502002503003505060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3812
#10
28.80.4
21.921.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 25.3
54.12.0
37.035.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5198
#18
21.10.4
24.824.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
2411
#12
20.32.0
32.730.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3674
#24
19.70.4
7.87.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.5
753
#31
2.22.0
14.012.0
Auto
Teleop
End