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Red5
25428.5
273313.5
36363.6
Blue7
46528.7
237416.7
367320.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5144010015057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2733
#28
13.53.8
17.213.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.2
3673
#11
20.73.2
18.815.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2542
#22
8.53.8
18.815.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.2
2374
#16
16.73.2
15.812.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3636
#32
3.63.8
14.410.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
4652
#35
8.73.2
10.97.6
Auto
Teleop
End