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Red141
448859.5
200224.7
46927.5
Blue20
263527.2
25178.9
357421.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5742010015014120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.57.2
29.336.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 32.3
27.22.0
12.410.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
24.77.2
17.825.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
21.92.0
17.014.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4692
#34
7.57.2
7.414.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
2517
#23
8.92.0
15.113.0
Auto
Teleop
End