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Red156
255035.1
154029.6
302413.6
Blue120
84718.1
291515.0
95543.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57390100150200156120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.18.5
16.525.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.0
955
#19
43.16.6
17.824.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1540
#20
29.68.5
29.938.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.6
847
#26
18.16.6
9.516.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3024
#14
13.68.5
7.916.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
2915
#21
15.06.6
14.120.6
Auto
Teleop
End