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Red36
367419.7
154029.6
412726.3
Blue15
36363.6
405112.3
302413.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86210501001502002503003615

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#20
29.63.3
38.535.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.1
3024
#14
13.61.3
17.215.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4127
#13
26.33.3
23.320.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.0
4051
#33
12.31.3
5.84.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3674
#24
19.73.3
13.910.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.1
3636
#32
3.61.3
7.96.5
Auto
Teleop
End