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Red13
46927.5
241120.3
46528.7
Blue150
519821.1
448859.5
209313.0
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions357905010015020025013150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2411
#12
20.32.3
23.020.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 39.2
59.56.0
45.751.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4652
#35
8.72.3
7.65.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.3
5198
#18
21.16.0
17.523.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4692
#34
7.52.3
11.59.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
2093
#29
13.06.0
9.315.3
Auto
Teleop
End