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Red54
237416.7
7532.2
445719.3
Blue95
302413.6
357421.9
412726.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175901001502005495

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4457
#17
19.32.4
10.412.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.0
4127
#13
26.33.3
19.422.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2374
#16
16.72.4
11.213.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
21.93.3
19.122.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
753
#31
2.22.4
2.04.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.4
3024
#14
13.63.3
13.917.2
Auto
Teleop
End