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Red31
46927.5
302413.6
367320.7
Blue78
445719.3
241120.3
367419.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395801001502002503178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3673
#11
20.70.7
17.516.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2411
#12
20.31.6
22.223.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3024
#14
13.60.7
16.015.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
3674
#24
19.71.6
14.616.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4692
#34
7.50.7
8.27.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.8
4457
#17
19.31.6
17.919.4
Auto
Teleop
End