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Red56
413211.9
302413.6
263527.2
Blue20
36363.6
241120.3
519821.1
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5653203040607080905620

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.20.0
27.227.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
5198
#18
21.12.0
22.620.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3024
#14
13.60.0
15.315.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.7
2411
#12
20.32.0
23.721.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4132
#15
11.90.0
13.013.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.4
3636
#32
3.62.0
7.05.0
Auto
Teleop
End