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Red175
371220.0
95556.8
154052.3
Blue131
302422.3
95643.6
95745.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129106050150200250300175131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#3
56.80.8
55.756.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.1
957
#8
45.70.4
45.145.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
52.30.8
51.252.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.7
956
#17
43.60.4
43.043.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3712
#30
20.00.8
18.819.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
3024
#13
22.30.4
21.722.0
Auto
Teleop
End