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Red97
281144.6
412725.3
466218.1
Blue84
52957.5
135920.8
252149.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91750501502009784

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.60.4
40.841.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
49.30.3
43.543.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
25.30.4
27.127.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
1359
#25
20.80.3
23.623.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4662
#26
18.10.4
20.621.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.6
5295
#22
7.50.3
10.711.0
Auto
Teleop
End