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Red176
157117.4
95556.8
411029.6
Blue37
84726.0
302422.3
299037.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions817205010015020025017637

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#3
56.84.8
47.852.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.4
2990
#14
37.31.8
33.731.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4110
#11
29.64.8
22.427.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
847
#16
26.01.8
25.523.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
17.44.8
9.314.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
3024
#13
22.31.8
14.512.7
Auto
Teleop
End