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Red118
299037.3
219227.1
252149.3
Blue88
519821.4
95643.6
151034.4
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1029505015020011888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.30.9
45.746.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
956
#17
43.60.4
45.545.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2990
#14
37.30.9
32.333.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
1510
#15
34.40.4
28.928.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2192
#21
27.10.9
22.623.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
5198
#28
21.40.4
22.021.5
Auto
Teleop
End