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Red11
251716.6
291517.4
135920.8
Blue111
84726.0
157117.4
281144.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5987015020025030011111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1359
#25
20.82.6
24.221.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.8
44.61.4
41.542.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2915
#19
17.42.6
19.216.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.6
847
#16
26.01.4
25.226.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2517
#24
16.62.6
19.917.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
17.41.4
15.817.3
Auto
Teleop
End