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Red190
200226.5
448868.3
142553.0
Blue138
252137.1
95635.3
241135.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15597050200250300190138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.30.7
67.768.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 31.1
2521
#11
37.10.5
36.537.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
53.00.7
52.553.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.2
2411
#20
35.80.5
35.135.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2002
#23
26.50.7
26.026.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.8
956
#13
35.30.5
34.735.2
Auto
Teleop
End