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Red136
448868.3
142553.0
200226.5
Blue114
241135.8
252137.1
95635.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15899050200250300136114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.30.2
68.568.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 31.1
2521
#11
37.10.1
37.037.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
53.00.2
53.253.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.2
2411
#20
35.80.1
35.735.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2002
#23
26.50.2
26.726.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.8
956
#13
35.30.1
35.235.3
Auto
Teleop
End