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Red78
367436.7
154038.1
151018.8
Blue95
95635.3
273318.5
405730.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1005901502002503007895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#10
38.10.8
37.837.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
956
#13
35.31.8
24.926.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
36.70.8
35.634.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
4057
#16
30.01.5
26.427.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1510
#26
18.80.8
20.419.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2733
#17
18.51.5
13.915.4
Auto
Teleop
End