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Red162
251724.3
95726.0
413218.6
Blue116
299035.8
319219.0
404320.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47660100150162116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
957
#22
26.06.8
21.528.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.8
2990
#12
35.82.6
32.535.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2517
#15
24.35.6
16.021.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
4043
#31
20.23.2
13.316.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4132
#19
18.65.6
12.518.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
3192
#28
19.03.2
17.220.5
Auto
Teleop
End