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Red88
254215.0
200226.5
405120.6
Blue101
313133.2
142553.0
46928.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46104015020025088101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2002
#23
26.51.6
25.126.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 26.5
53.00.3
52.953.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4051
#14
20.61.6
18.520.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.6
33.20.3
34.434.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2542
#24
15.01.6
11.713.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
4692
#29
8.30.3
8.08.3
Auto
Teleop
End