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Red170
251724.3
247157.5
263535.6
Blue138
95635.3
404320.2
252137.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116640100150200250300350170138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.53.1
53.156.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.4
2521
#11
37.13.7
28.532.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2635
#21
35.63.1
33.036.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
956
#13
35.33.7
26.730.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2517
#15
24.33.1
21.624.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
4043
#31
20.23.7
16.620.2
Auto
Teleop
End