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Red97
405120.6
241135.8
405730.0
Blue131
367436.7
466222.3
281137.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions768905015020025097131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2411
#20
35.81.0
29.930.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
37.42.2
34.036.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4057
#16
30.01.0
27.928.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.7
36.72.2
34.837.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4051
#14
20.61.0
20.121.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
4662
#27
22.32.4
18.621.0
Auto
Teleop
End