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Red107
200226.5
142553.0
363621.3
Blue137
209316.4
237435.0
273318.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110540150200250300107137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.00.3
53.253.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.0
2374
#18
35.03.7
32.936.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2002
#23
26.50.3
26.727.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
2733
#17
18.53.7
15.419.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
21.30.3
21.721.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
16.43.7
14.418.1
Auto
Teleop
End