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Red30
30419.8
48635.6
139119.5
Blue18
201621.3
437312.0
27219.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions608201001502002503018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
486
#2
35.62.8
26.924.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.3
2016
#26
21.35.1
34.529.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
304
#11
19.82.8
11.68.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
272
#23
19.25.1
27.122.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1391
#14
19.52.8
25.122.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
4373
#33
12.05.1
17.011.9
Auto
Teleop
End