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Red59
272927.2
223423.5
253918.4
Blue5
412810.7
116810.6
18076.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6937050100150200595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2729
#18
27.20.4
32.832.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.5
4128
#36
10.73.1
9.16.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2234
#15
23.50.4
13.413.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.8
1168
#29
10.63.1
18.115.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
18.40.4
17.817.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.0
1807
#40
6.33.1
15.112.0
Auto
Teleop
End