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Red106
475016.6
149520.6
164747.3
Blue82
30336.5
81614.2
27219.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions826605010015020010682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.31.5
45.346.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.9
303
#7
36.50.7
37.538.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1495
#21
20.61.5
19.120.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
272
#23
19.20.7
17.918.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4750
#25
16.61.5
15.116.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
816
#32
14.20.7
13.414.2
Auto
Teleop
End