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Red87
121835.3
223423.5
10336.0
Blue88
35734.1
164035.5
253918.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96920501502002503008788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
#27
36.00.5
36.135.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1640
#19
35.50.3
36.135.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1218
#12
35.30.5
36.235.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
357
#5
34.10.3
36.135.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2234
#15
23.50.5
23.422.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
18.40.3
20.420.1
Auto
Teleop
End