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Red107
434225.7
1136.9
30438.2
Blue179
171230.1
397435.5
437327.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10291050150200250300350107179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
304
#1
38.20.1
38.138.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
3974
#14
35.51.4
35.436.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
11
#11
36.90.1
36.836.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
1712
#13
30.11.4
29.931.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4342
#15
25.70.1
25.625.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
4373
#10
27.71.4
27.629.0
Auto
Teleop
End