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Red100
397435.5
437327.7
171230.1
Blue78
22551.7
149521.8
31642.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9211805015020025010078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3974
#14
35.50.1
36.436.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.2
225
#6
51.70.6
51.050.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1712
#13
30.10.1
30.931.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.9
316
#22
42.90.6
42.241.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4373
#10
27.70.1
28.528.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
1495
#20
21.80.6
21.120.5
Auto
Teleop
End